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Metrics | Range | Conclusion |
---|---|---|
Discount Rate | 10.5% - 9.5% | 10.0% |
Perpetuity Growth Rate | 2.5% - 3.5% | 3.0% |
Fair Value | kr2.28 - kr3.12 | kr2.64 |
Upside | -50.6% - -32.3% | -42.7% |
Select Revenue and EBITDA Forecast | |||||||
(SEK in millions) | Input Projections | ||||||
Fiscal Years Ending | Dec-24 | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | |
Revenue | 192 | 235 | 277 | 316 | 340 | 352 | |
% Growth | 19.3% | 22.6% | 17.9% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 3.5% | |
EBITDA | -13 | 47 | 73 | 96 | 123 | 135 | |
% of Revenue | -6.7% | 20.0% | 26.4% | 30.4% | 36.2% | 38.4% |
Calculation of Free Cash Flow | |||||||
Projected Unlevered Cash Flow | |||||||
(SEK in millions) | Dec-25 | Dec-26 | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Terminal | |
EBITDA | 47 | 73 | 96 | 123 | 135 | 135 | |
Other Income / (Exp) | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
D&A | (44) | (47) | (47) | (51) | (52) | (50) | |
EBIT | 3 | 26 | 49 | 72 | 83 | 85 | |
Pro forma Taxes | (0) | (3) | (5) | (8) | (9) | (9) | |
NOPAT | (12) | 3 | 23 | 44 | 65 | 74 | 75 |
Capital Expenditures | (1) | (41) | (41) | (41) | (48) | (53) | (53) |
NWC Investment | 13 | 18 | 18 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 4 |
(+) D&A | 0 | 44 | 47 | 47 | 51 | 52 | 50 |
Free Cash Flow | 1 | 24 | 47 | 66 | 77 | 78 | 77 |
% Growth | 2537% | 96% | 41% | 17% | 1% | -1% |